I will present some of the data that
contradicts this Gore - IPCC hypothesis.
Also, several years ago, by pure chance, I
met Alexander Cockburn, a columnist for the Nation magazine on a Nation
cruise, and sensed that he too was a global warming skeptic. I sent him
copies of my paper, my several letters to the editor, and other
correspondence. Last year he wrote a series of columns based in part on my
work.
Politically, Cockburn is well to the left of
me, and he has received lots of vituperative criticism from
environmentalists and others for his articles. I myself have been
accused of being a tool of the coal barons, which would come as a great
surprise to them, since I spent most of my career advocating for more
stringent safety regulations in their mines. So let’s look at some more
data, as shown here –

Here is the Vostok ice core data for the last
420,000 years. Gore showed this curve in his movie and in his book, An
Inconvenient Truth. The red line shows the atmospheric CO2, and the blue
line is the temperature relative to recent values.
The data show a remarkably good correlation
in the long term variations in temperature and CO2. There are four Ice Ages
shown with average temperatures some 6 to 8 C below current values. Those
ice ages are characterized by CO2 concentrations as low as 170 - 190 ppm.
Five Interglacial Warming periods are shown with temperatures some 2 to 4 C
above current values. They are characterized by CO2 concentrations as high
as 270 to 300 ppm.
The last warming period shown is the current
one that started after the last ice age ended some 20,000 years ago. Gore
uses this data to argue that this proves that high CO2 causes global
warming, and that the current levels at 385 ppm are higher than any over the
past 420,000 years. And that’s all you read about in newspaper headlines.
Is that an objective evaluation of this data?
Let’s look at what Gore failed to mention. First, this correlation has been
going on for about half a million years, long before any significant human
production of CO2 which began only two hundred years ago. Two hundred years
is a bare pencil width on this time scale. Thus, it can be argued that the
current overall increase in both CO2 and temperature are merely the
continuation of a natural process that has nothing whatever to do with human
activity.
What he also fails to mention is data from
the Eocene period some 20 to 30 million years before humans even appeared on
the earth. In the Eocene, high latitudes were ice free, some 10 C warmer
than they are today, and CO2 concentrations were over 1,500 ppm, some 400 %
higher than they are today.
But Gore’s most egregious error is his
contention that these high CO2 values actually caused the temperature rises.
What he knows but fails to mention is that these same data show that the
changes in temperature always precede the changes in CO2 by about a thousand
years.
The temperature increases or decreases come
first, and it is after that that the CO2 follows. Any objective scientist
looking at that result would conclude that it is the warming that is causing
the CO2 increase, not the other way around as Gore claims.
Gore also neglects to ask the most logical question: where did all that CO2
come from during those warming periods when the human production of CO2 was
essentially zero? The answer is that it came from the same place that the
current increase is coming from: from the oceans. The amount of CO2
dissolved in the Earth’s oceans
is at least 50 to 100 times greater than the amount in the atmosphere. As
oceans warm for whatever reason, some of their dissolve CO2 is emitted into
the atmosphere, just as your soda pop goes flat and loses its dissolved CO2
as it warms to room
temperature. As oceans cool, CO2 from the atmosphere dissolves back into the
oceans, just as soda pop is manufactured by injecting CO2 into cold water.
That explains not only the CO2 variations in
this data for the 420 thousand years before any human production of CO2, but
also the much larger CO2 increases that occurred some 20 - 30 million years
before humans even appeared on the earth. So Gore and the IPCC have it
backwards: it is the warming of the earth that is causing the increase in
CO2, not the other way around as they claim. Let us look at some more data
on the question of whether the current modest increase in the average
temperature of the Earth is caused by the human production of CO2. The data
for the recent decades is shown here:

This is the IPCC data for temperature changes
shown in red with the scale on the right. The orange line shows the overall
temperature trends. It is compared with the human production of CO2 from
fossil fuels, shown in purple with the scale on the left. The
overall increase in both quantities over the last century or so does not
prove a causal relationship.
After all, lots of things have increased over
the same period: the average height of buildings, the population of San
Diego, the production of corn, the cost of living, and none of those is
causally related to atmospheric temperature. The devil is in the details,
for if we look at the period from 1940 to 1970, the average temperature of
the earth dropped some 0.25 C at a time when the human production of fossil
fuels tripled. I remember that period of the 1960’s when we were warned that
another ice-age was coming. Those warnings came from some of the same people
who are now pushing the global warming scare. The rate of increase of
temperature from 1910 to 1940 was about the same as from 1970 to 2000, yet
the fossil production then was five times smaller than it is today.
One of the more dramatic contradictions to
the Gore-IPCC hypothesis is one that I came up with myself, and which
appealed to Cockburn and to an Australian group of fellow skeptics. Let’s
assume for the moment that Gore-IPCC are right; namely that the human
production is dangerous and that we must reduce human production of CO2. So
let’s do it! Guess what? We’ve been there and done that, and we didn’t need
the Kyoto protocol to do it. We reduced the world wide production of fossil
carbon dioxide by a whopping 30% starting one year before I was born. Here’s
the data:

This is what actually happened during the
years of the Great Depression. In 1929, production was at 1.17 Gigatons of
carbon burned per year. Then the stock markets crashed, the depression hit,
and human generation fell to 0.88 Gigatons per year.
What did the atmospheric CO2 and temperature
data show during those three years? As you can see from the lower curves,
they didn’t skip a beat in their relentless rise at their normal rate. So a
30% decline in fossil carbon dioxide emission has absolutely no effect on
temperature or atmospheric CO2. Why? Again because the increase in CO2 is
coming from somewhere else: namely, the oceans, and the temperature is
unrelated to human activity.
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Eustace Mullins' carefully
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The
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How control of the world's money has inexorably led to an ever tighter
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Uranium Wars by Leuren Moret
How control of the world's people has inexorably led to wider use of
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